Document Type
Article
Source of Publication
Journal of Macroeconomics
Publication Date
1-1-2015
Abstract
© 2015 The Authors. This paper estimates the magnitudes of government spending and tax multipliers within a regime-switching framework for the U.S. economy during the period 1949:1-2006:4. Our results show that the magnitudes of spending multipliers are larger during periods of low economic activity, while the magnitudes of tax multipliers are larger during periods of high economic activity. We also show that the magnitudes of fiscal multipliers got smaller for episodes of low growth, while they got larger for episodes of high growth in the post 1980 period. Analyzing the effects of government spending and taxes on consumption and investment spending indicates that the magnitude of the effects of fiscal shocks on consumption and investment is very small.
DOI Link
ISSN
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd
Volume
44
First Page
303
Last Page
311
Disciplines
Business
Keywords
Fiscal multipliers, Regime switching
Scopus ID
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Recommended Citation
Peren Arin, K.; Koray, Faik; and Spagnolo, Nicola, "Fiscal multipliers in good times and bad times" (2015). All Works. 1684.
https://zuscholars.zu.ac.ae/works/1684
Indexed in Scopus
yes
Open Access
yes
Open Access Type
Hybrid: This publication is openly available in a subscription-based journal/series